Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa26f069aa1c030d98ecee7794d49f94dbb50f77ca6714f2fcce20a3af017e7bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Top Esportsof Anyone's Legend, Top Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Top Esports | 68c | 12,557$8,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,018.97 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Anyone's Legend | 32c | 9,070$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,902.38 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Anyone's Legend | 32c | 2,375$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.09 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Anyone's Legend | 32c | 594$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.08 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Anyone's Legend | 32c | 534$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Anyone's Legend | 32c | 530.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Top Esports | 68c | 498.55$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.54 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Top Esports | 68c | 388.95$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Anyone's Legend | 31c | 374.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Top Esports | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Anyone's Legend | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…af42backed Top Esports | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Anyone's Legend | 31c | 86.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Anyone's Legend | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4226…2665backed Top Esports | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Anyone's Legend | 33c | 32.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…48e0backed Anyone's Legend | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…9da8backed Anyone's Legend | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Top Esports | 68c | 30.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997d…310ebacked Top Esports | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Top Esports | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTop Esports won
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.