TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Cardinals vs. Brewers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Brewersof Cardinals, Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,366

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers45c10,411$4,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,697.421,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Cardinals9c6,578$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.9917136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Cardinals0c5,732$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.284043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cardinals54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7001,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Cardinals20c4,879$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.6630928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38ba…92f7backed Cardinals53c4,538$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4009246.7%43 W · 49 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Brewers78c3,384$2,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.0397950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Cardinals55c3,312$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.4949250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers79c3,097$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.419,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cardinals56c3,000$1,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69032852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a9…609fbacked Cardinals2c2,925$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick35cpaid-10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals1c2,705$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.64754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Brewers75c2,618$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.9140547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Brewers44c2,533$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.391,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36f…9ab5backed Brewers43c2,393$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cc…5a1ebacked Brewers43c2,359$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Cardinals1c2,316$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.585852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Cardinals57c2,052$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.3719452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fbb…377abacked Cardinals56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Cardinals57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9969249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Cardinals56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.8727953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Brewers44c1,991$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.9631346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers43c1,887$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.562,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers52c1,800$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$857.4686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49eb…bffbbacked Cardinals57c1,753$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79df…0a95backed Cardinals57c1,718$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Brewers43c1,538$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.876456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Cardinals3c1,506$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1212314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Cardinals2c1,450$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.142488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x49ce…13eebacked Brewers60c1,424$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.336538.5%25 W · 40 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0e5…39c7backed Cardinals57c1,281$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Brewers43c1,209$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.9638949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers44c1,127$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.844456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals2c1,024$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.838762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Brewers43c1,023$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.9538047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Brewers45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals6c1,000$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e35…c89abacked Cardinals8c1,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.435630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Cardinals54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5401,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Cardinals53c958.94$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.7417754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae09…fa6dbacked Cardinals56c888.11$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.17549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals2c799.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.85053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Brewers43c799.64$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.83661.1%22 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x25ce…ff95backed Cardinals57c710.39$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5070…37dcbacked Brewers43c709.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Cardinals52c600.47$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Cardinals55c549.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brewers44c520.27$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.355,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…136abacked Cardinals49c507.74$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029240.8%119 W · 173 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Cardinals55c500.98$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.5427751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9599…be88backed Cardinals2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025511.8%30 W · 225 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2252…3f47backed Brewers43c485.19$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.561070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+44.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x996c…d8b9backed Cardinals31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Cardinals37c480$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6310719.6%21 W · 86 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6f…482cbacked Cardinals34c453.2$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.726553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brewers62c430.26$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.0363942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Brewers46c399.94$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.973,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x398c…3738backed Brewers43c371.6$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.811070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Cardinals55c326.89$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.7998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38f…7e3bbacked Cardinals58c313.02$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.551070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Cardinals57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17192754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Brewers42c295.83$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.5844443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Cardinals53c286.91$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.061,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x537f…7ccebacked Cardinals58c279.02$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.831154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Brewers45c267.4$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.231,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ef…bcb4backed Cardinals58c262.47$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.23955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45db…51c6backed Cardinals58c251.8$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.054748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Brewers44c239.93$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.161,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf183…93e9backed Brewers44c238.83$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.462958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c11…719fbacked Brewers44c236.15$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.672751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Cardinals56c232.54$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13028453.9%153 W · 131 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Brewers44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2712624.6%31 W · 95 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Brewers45c222.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.591,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Brewers44c221.58$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.0817239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Cardinals54c213.8$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.9985047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers69c212.13$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.768656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Cardinals55c209.09$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…1070backed Cardinals56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1123941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Brewers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063052.7%332 W · 298 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Brewers50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017744.1%78 W · 99 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b40…80a4backed Brewers44c198.85$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ff0…7881backed Cardinals57c185.28$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.612842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cdc…7cddbacked Cardinals55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x766f…3115backed Cardinals32c174.19$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.05333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc923…f0adbacked Brewers44c172.83$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.093053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80a0…d0afbacked Brewers44c168.49$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.122948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2474…7473backed Cardinals56c166.01$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.333243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Cardinals55c161$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5543654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers43c159.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.192,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals46c155.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.352542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0624…faafbacked Brewers46c155.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.993148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Cardinals57c149.97$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.487135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers60c143$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.541,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Brewers79c142.68$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6942955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Cardinals53c141.93$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2233852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49fa…2193backed Cardinals56c140.09$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.451926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-42.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Brewers46c139.13$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.1374356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Brewers43c134.96$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5940352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.