Other European Leagues · resolved market
AVS Futebol vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa96c9274b12ddd07cbf92963d49b7b6aa27df6cdfcf248a865f07d43930a82f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Over | 72c | 4,210$3,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 2,204$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.64 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 49c | 1,721$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.75 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 1,281$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.25 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 54c | 1,253$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.07 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 53c | 1,143$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.9 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 53c | 1,000$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 50c | 989.9$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.95 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 700.18$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.09 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 671.54$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.01 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 656.83$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 57c | 511.23$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 51c | 382.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.59 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 42c | 345.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 42c | 345.43$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.35 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 342.92$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.09 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 57c | 332.97$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 72c | 275.06$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.05 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 242.39$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.77 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 73c | 202.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 53c | 194.36$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 27c | 168$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Over | 50c | 136.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 132.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 126.51$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 62c | 119.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 27c | 119.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 27c | 104.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 46c | 103.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 57c | 102.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Under | 42c | 69.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 54c | 56.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 42c | 51.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 45c | 50.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 49c | 41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccd…8377backed Over | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 50c | 36.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 51c | 21.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AVS Futebol vs. Vitória SC: O/U 2.5this page
- AVS Futebol vs. Vitória SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AVS Futebol vs. Vitória SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. Vitória SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. Vitória SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)Vitória SC won
- Spread: Vitória SC (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.