Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Kessler (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0328343b74332651509b74d41856d91e73ece4307e502819ba17e12274fa70a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kesslerof Andreeva, Kessler
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,284 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kessler | 32c | 687.71$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Kessler | 64c | 642.68$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.3 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Andreeva | 68c | 348.62$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.17 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…c4f2backed Kessler | 74c | 283.84$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andreeva | 65c | 186.11$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.29 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Kessler | 49c | 176.9$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.28 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Andreeva | 53c | 172.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Andreeva | 76c | 166.08$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Andreeva | 7c | 165.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Andreeva | 59c | 84.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…6d11backed Andreeva | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Andreeva | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Andreeva | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Kessler | 37c | 41.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Andreeva | 46c | 40.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kessler | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Andreeva | 55c | 34.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Andreeva | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.0wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Andreeva | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Kessler (+1.5)this page
- Andreeva vs. Kessler: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs McCartney KesslerMirra Andreeva won
- Mirra Andreeva vs. McCartney Kessler: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs KesslerAndreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.