Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34aac52e04e011055bcc3d0e50ade9a6c798b6ad19dff72b47d7166b7bdca270

Rebuilt 27 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: SaD Esportsof SaD Esports, NRG Academy
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $5,987
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $6,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,987 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x568d…87d0backed SaD Esports	42c	1,203$501 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.15	108	42.6%46 W · 62 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed NRG Academy	50c	822$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed SaD Esports	50c	725$362 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.75	305	44.3%135 W · 170 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked NRG Academy	56c	500$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	544	39.9%217 W · 327 L	+12.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed SaD Esports	76c	483.38$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.99	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	65cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NRG Academy	56c	230.91$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.76	1,417	51.3%727 W · 690 L	+49.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed SaD Esports	48c	207.34$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.34	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	60cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked SaD Esports	71c	175.48$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.7	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	70cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed NRG Academy	47c	148$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.9	149	38.3%57 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5f…3492backed NRG Academy	73c	143.8$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	342	53.2%182 W · 160 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed SaD Esports	21c	142.84$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.84	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NRG Academy	43c	140.88$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.89	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG Academy	38c	120.57$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.2	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed NRG Academy	73c	111.66$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.51	338	38.5%130 W · 208 L	-21.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked NRG Academy	55c	100.43$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.42	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked SaD Esports	50c	88.69$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.65	509	44.6%227 W · 282 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked NRG Academy	54c	79$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.05	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-4.5wins	-0.16per pick	45cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed NRG Academy	56c	71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.71	103	49.5%51 W · 52 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed SaD Esports	27c	67.3$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.81	418	35.6%149 W · 269 L	-19.8wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed SaD Esports	35c	65.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.59	653	47.3%309 W · 344 L	-18.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d71…d6b6backed NRG Academy	70c	58.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked SaD Esports	47c	57.48$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.61	962	45.1%434 W · 528 L	-18.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG Academy	37c	56.75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG Academy	28c	52$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.48	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NRG Academy	48c	51$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.28	777	44%342 W · 435 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked NRG Academy	75c	50$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.36	421	40.4%170 W · 251 L	-26.0wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked NRG Academy	56c	48$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	29	55.2%16 W · 13 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG Academy	43c	41.21$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.71	848	38.2%324 W · 524 L	-50.5wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed NRG Academy	54c	39.88$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.41	811	34.9%283 W · 528 L	-60.9wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb09f…6382backed SaD Esports	30c	35$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NRG Academy	76c	33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	746	42.8%319 W · 427 L	-27.7wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d66…aa07backed SaD Esports	61c	32.79$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.79	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	56cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed NRG Academy	63c	32.41$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.52	78	50%39 W · 39 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed SaD Esports	33c	30.92$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	697	22.8%159 W · 538 L	-94.4wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x1357…4829backed NRG Academy	38c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked SaD Esports	41c	29.59$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.39	321	57.6%185 W · 136 L	+7.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed NRG Academy	64c	29.31$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	117	70.9%83 W · 34 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+13%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked NRG Academy	68c	28.24$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked NRG Academy	75c	25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	236	44.5%105 W · 131 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked NRG Academy	61c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	571	51%291 W · 280 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked NRG Academy	75c	25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.75	700	43.7%306 W · 394 L	-13.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked NRG Academy	62c	24.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.31	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed SaD Esports	49c	23.48$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.94	463	47.1%218 W · 245 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed SaD Esports	50c	22$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	247	51.8%128 W · 119 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed SaD Esports	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	110	42.7%47 W · 63 L	-7.9wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-14%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked NRG Academy	56c	19$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.64	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa574…4596backed NRG Academy	71c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.65	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsSaD Esports won
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 WinnerSaD Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event