Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Perricard (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a3fc1809c0cb30e623bb90976fc87747416aa5b7ae7243342e45116b0d21335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carabelliof Perricard, Carabelli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,838 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Carabelli | 56c | 384.59$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Perricard | 75c | 368.35$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.44 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…4392backed Perricard | 44c | 258.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Perricard | 47c | 241.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.42 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -10.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Perricard | 52c | 234.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.82 | 214 | 48.1%103 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Carabelli | 24c | 151.15$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…7c7abacked Carabelli | 62c | 129.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Carabelli | 61c | 123.69$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Perricard | 36c | 122.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Perricard | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Carabelli | 23c | 107.62$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.86 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Perricard | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Perricard | 56c | 79.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Perricard | 39c | 50.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Carabelli | 56c | 40.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0483…483bbacked Perricard | 43c | 34.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Perricard | 69c | 33.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Carabelli | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Carabelli | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e65dbacked Perricard | 71c | 23.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Perricard (-1.5) vs Carabelli (+1.5)this page
- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Camilo Ugo CarabelliCamilo Ugo Carabelli won
- Perricard vs. Carabelli: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Perricard vs. Carabelli: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.