Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion: Alex Barrena vs Murkel Dellien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb418a2dfeb385c7a14375a26d84ccc9d2141be20016deeaabbc453e636fa704c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alex Barrenaof Alex Barrena, Murkel Dellien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,097 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d7…0501backed Alex Barrena | 71c | 29,161$20,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,456.78 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Murkel Dellien | 29c | 21,291$6,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,109.18 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Alex Barrena | 54c | 4,075$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.03 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alex Barrena | 80c | 2,354$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.88 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alex Barrena | 64c | 1,838$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.29 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Murkel Dellien | 29c | 858.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked Murkel Dellien | 17c | 591.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Murkel Dellien | 38c | 491.93$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.23 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Murkel Dellien | 62c | 490$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.66 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Alex Barrena | 38c | 342.11$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.11 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Murkel Dellien | 21c | 320.6$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Alex Barrena | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alex Barrena | 39c | 270.58$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alex Barrena | 72c | 229.05$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Alex Barrena | 46c | 214$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.14 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Alex Barrena | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Alex Barrena | 27c | 178.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Murkel Dellien | 26c | 151.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Murkel Dellien | 30c | 145$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Alex Barrena | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Alex Barrena | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Murkel Dellien | 39c | 118$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Alex Barrena | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Alex Barrena | 53c | 93.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Alex Barrena | 74c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Alex Barrena | 46c | 64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Alex Barrena | 70c | 61.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Alex Barrena | 72c | 58.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Murkel Dellien | 26c | 57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Murkel Dellien | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Murkel Dellien | 46c | 53.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Murkel Dellien | 32c | 50.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Alex Barrena | 35c | 49.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3262…3e5fbacked Murkel Dellien | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Alex Barrena | 53c | 45.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Murkel Dellien | 32c | 42.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…dbf8backed Murkel Dellien | 50c | 40.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Murkel Dellien | 46c | 40.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Murkel Dellien | 41c | 37.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Murkel Dellien | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Murkel Dellien | 50c | 24.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Alex Barrena | 72c | 22.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alex Barrena | 67c | 22.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Alex Barrena | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Alex Barrena | 79c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Murkel Dellien | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.