Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b1dd9a55268146f3202b5623e40b6efb02f5511569f2f80e8589d428cd4538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evil Geniuses Academyof NRG Academy, Evil Geniuses Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,826
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,826 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe197…71ebbacked NRG Academy | 1c | 3,040$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed NRG Academy | 55c | 2,250$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.48 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked NRG Academy | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.98 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 53c | 1,903$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.21 | 1,396 | 47.3%661 W · 735 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 53c | 1,357$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.04 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 45c | 1,263$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.64 | 1,434 | 51.1%733 W · 701 L | +48.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed NRG Academy | 42c | 579.31$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NRG Academy | 35c | 404.97$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.27 | 976 | 45.2%441 W · 535 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 52c | 290.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.24 | 148 | 50.7%75 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG Academy | 26c | 164.32$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 857 | 37.9%325 W · 532 L | -53.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked NRG Academy | 22c | 160.24$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 313 | 27.8%87 W · 226 L | -33.6wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 61c | 140.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 67c | 140.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 1,329 | 43.6%580 W · 749 L | -47.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 65c | 125.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.47 | 1,629 | 45%733 W · 896 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NRG Academy | 44c | 114.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 1,517 | 46.6%707 W · 810 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed NRG Academy | 22c | 92.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 660 | 47.3%312 W · 348 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed NRG Academy | 52c | 70.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG Academy | 29c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 1,375 | 39%536 W · 839 L | -59.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked NRG Academy | 33c | 67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 66c | 62.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 591 | 50.8%300 W · 291 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 53c | 60.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked NRG Academy | 51c | 44.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 73c | 39.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Evil Geniuses Academy | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked NRG Academy | 27c | 36.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 799 | 44.3%354 W · 445 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed NRG Academy | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 67c | 24.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 78c | 23.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 128 | 71.1%91 W · 37 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Evil Geniuses Academy | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.92 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsNRG Academy won
- Valorant: NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy - Map 1 WinnerNRG Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.