Tennis · resolved market
ITF Stuttgart-Vaihingen: Tessa Johanna Brockmann vs Kathinka Von Deichmann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96f304ff52ef759658a7d7c1a2c72047e8a59dd1c2f9ad5374c56dcd281c90a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tessa Johanna Brockmannof Tessa Johanna Brockmann, Kathinka Von Deichmann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 47c | 1,735$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.65 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Kathinka Von Deichmann | 46c | 1,727$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.62 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kathinka Von Deichmann | 66c | 1,608$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.97 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Kathinka Von Deichmann | 33c | 1,027$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.57 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 48c | 831.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.54 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Kathinka Von Deichmann | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 55c | 690$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 45c | 409$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.99 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 49c | 340.36$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kathinka Von Deichmann | 51c | 270.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 43c | 206.29$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.29 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 41c | 190$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 48c | 164.17$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kathinka Von Deichmann | 37c | 122.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 43c | 105$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 55c | 93.45$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.05 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 52c | 65.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 48c | 56.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kathinka Von Deichmann | 38c | 46.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 49c | 44.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 53c | 36.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Kathinka Von Deichmann | 64c | 32.81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 47c | 28.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Tessa Johanna Brockmann | 48c | 27.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Kathinka Von Deichmann | 61c | 19.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.