Tennis · resolved market
Murcia: Felix Gill vs Filip Pieczonka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x456f90107661739c682ae728207f21095d18f562fd2d533b840590e848d4432e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felix Gillof Felix Gill, Filip Pieczonka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,408 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Felix Gill | 69c | 14,966$10,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,710.17 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Filip Pieczonka | 11c | 2,483$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Filip Pieczonka | 27c | 2,304$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.39 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Felix Gill | 72c | 1,990$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.54 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Filip Pieczonka | 21c | 1,321$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.94 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Filip Pieczonka | 15c | 1,303$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Filip Pieczonka | 49c | 1,129$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.09 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Filip Pieczonka | 18c | 965.28$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.84 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Filip Pieczonka | 29c | 852.18$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.48 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Felix Gill | 73c | 704.61$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Filip Pieczonka | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Felix Gill | 73c | 466.37$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.7 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Filip Pieczonka | 11c | 454.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 189 | 29.6%56 W · 133 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Filip Pieczonka | 22c | 388.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Felix Gill | 54c | 347$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.89 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Felix Gill | 71c | 345$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Filip Pieczonka | 19c | 311.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…6d2abacked Felix Gill | 65c | 308.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.11 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Filip Pieczonka | 5c | 302.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 351 | 32.2%113 W · 238 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Felix Gill | 68c | 298.73$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Filip Pieczonka | 5c | 268.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Filip Pieczonka | 35c | 257.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.91 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7101…1441backed Felix Gill | 64c | 247.48$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Filip Pieczonka | 18c | 245.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Felix Gill | 66c | 213.44$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Filip Pieczonka | 7c | 209.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Filip Pieczonka | 22c | 149.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Filip Pieczonka | 11c | 148.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Filip Pieczonka | 12c | 147.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Felix Gill | 70c | 143.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Filip Pieczonka | 19c | 142.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Filip Pieczonka | 17c | 119.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Filip Pieczonka | 36c | 117.43$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Felix Gill | 63c | 114.6$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Filip Pieczonka | 35c | 106.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Filip Pieczonka | 28c | 106.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Filip Pieczonka | 46c | 102.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Felix Gill | 61c | 101.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91c0…e4ccbacked Felix Gill | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 515 | 39.8%205 W · 310 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Filip Pieczonka | 44c | 96.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Filip Pieczonka | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…dfcebacked Filip Pieczonka | 23c | 87.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 346 | 37.9%131 W · 215 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Filip Pieczonka | 34c | 79.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cac…a026backed Filip Pieczonka | 24c | 77.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Filip Pieczonka | 41c | 73.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Filip Pieczonka | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Filip Pieczonka | 27c | 64.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Filip Pieczonka | 38c | 63.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…e0f7backed Felix Gill | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Felix Gill | 66c | 60.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Felix Gill | 70c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.63 | 2,135 | 56%1,195 W · 940 L | +41.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbace…6a61backed Filip Pieczonka | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Filip Pieczonka | 36c | 51.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Filip Pieczonka | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Filip Pieczonka | 52c | 48.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Filip Pieczonka | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked Filip Pieczonka | 22c | 47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Filip Pieczonka | 27c | 43.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Felix Gill | 33c | 41.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3a…5c97backed Filip Pieczonka | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Filip Pieczonka | 57c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Felix Gill | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Felix Gill | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…421bbacked Felix Gill | 68c | 33.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 109 | 67%73 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Filip Pieczonka | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked Filip Pieczonka | 45c | 32.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Felix Gill | 65c | 32.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…9b05backed Felix Gill | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Felix Gill | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Felix Gill | 45c | 26.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 41 | 14.6%6 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Felix Gill | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…8ae5backed Felix Gill | 72c | 22.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Filip Pieczonka | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed Felix Gill | 52c | 19.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +7.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Murcia: Felix Gill vs Filip Pieczonkathis page
- Felix Gill vs. Filip Pieczonka: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Gill vs. Pieczonka: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Gill vs PieczonkaGill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.