Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68aab29121888d4f22f5dd3534fd2cc2e21801fd332dcc0e66cc2f3ed97e982c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,622 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe491…ccd1backed Rune Eaters | 1c | 8,725$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.87 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 835.57$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.56 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Power Rangers | 62c | 499.98$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.99 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Rune Eaters | 40c | 396.32$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 303.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.26 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Power Rangers | 60c | 294.31$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.72 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Rune Eaters | 33c | 276.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.26 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8d3dbacked Power Rangers | 75c | 266.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadf…dda0backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 247.69$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 292 | 45.9%134 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Rune Eaters | 41c | 123.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Rune Eaters | 52c | 122.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rune Eaters | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Rune Eaters | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Power Rangers | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 98.16$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Power Rangers | 71c | 80.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Power Rangers | 42c | 62.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Rune Eaters | 65c | 33.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Power Rangers | 52c | 21.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group APower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.