CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e5afa5cc4f46ef0b2bf1453ccd94c4f08aab42b9c4576bd60067baa79937fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 44c | 1,068$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.68 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 51c | 884.15$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.92 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 55c | 823$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.07 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 51c | 347.34$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.14 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Over | 49c | 290.82$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…0effbacked Over | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.1 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 49c | 251.02$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Over | 48c | 249.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 156.08$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 44c | 138.5$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 50c | 138.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 69c | 123$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 59c | 113.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 62c | 105.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…7289backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 43c | 101$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fe…a16abacked Over | 50c | 100.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 86.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.32 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 51c | 58.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Over | 49c | 51.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 51c | 48.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 177 | 64.4%114 W · 63 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Over | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 45c | 37.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 42c | 31.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Over | 55c | 28.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Over | 48c | 27.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Under | 49c | 22.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb4…59d4backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StagePARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.