TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map 3 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, MIBR
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,428
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,535

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,428 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 8 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3ee…663bbacked MIBR54c499.99$270 inLost-$269.9915044.7%67 W · 83 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked PARIVISION46c251$115 inWon+$135.543360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed PARIVISION44c250$110 inWon+$140.1810142.6%43 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3f…6dd9backed PARIVISION46c250$115 inWon+$1351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe075…bf89backed PARIVISION42c250$105 inWon+$14517146.2%79 W · 92 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c08…5c69backed PARIVISION46c244.99$113 inWon+$132.294955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6add…6992backed PARIVISION47c212.04$100 inWon+$112.388339.8%33 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d08…5d9fbacked MIBR53c209.26$111 inLost-$110.9120248%97 W · 105 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.