CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a9f4cb1ccd955adc7b8a3ce76a966bb0e612959b57f61710503a611b2a73f64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof PARIVISION, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed MIBR | 75c | 10,000$7,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,511.19 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked PARIVISION | 25c | 4,053$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.07 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed PARIVISION | 25c | 2,740$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.94 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed PARIVISION | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked MIBR | 74c | 1,613$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.41 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked PARIVISION | 18c | 1,071$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.29 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed PARIVISION | 25c | 871.41$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked PARIVISION | 25c | 512$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed PARIVISION | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked PARIVISION | 26c | 491.42$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.77 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked PARIVISION | 26c | 451.43$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked MIBR | 73c | 340.63$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked MIBR | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked PARIVISION | 26c | 171.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked PARIVISION | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked PARIVISION | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed PARIVISION | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked MIBR | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed PARIVISION | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed PARIVISION | 27c | 114.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked MIBR | 71c | 90.17$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed MIBR | 75c | 57.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed PARIVISION | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked PARIVISION | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…8970backed PARIVISION | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…da67backed MIBR | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 387 | 54.8%212 W · 175 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed MIBR | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed MIBR | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StagePARIVISION won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: PARIVISION (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)PARIVISION won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.