NHL · resolved market
Spread: Devils (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44bbb6b6ac6d0faf99cf082e4ff8f387d5dcf3e09c0362dc98f8c336497cab52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Devilsof Devils, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,014 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcff1…904bbacked Rangers | 71c | 1,700$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe254…15e5backed Rangers | 71c | 1,300$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Rangers | 62c | 1,207$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.35 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff0…d281backed Rangers | 70c | 1,200$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff17…f4aebacked Rangers | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe77…23a8backed Rangers | 71c | 900$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…1f85backed Rangers | 70c | 880$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0548…21dabacked Rangers | 70c | 870$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Devils | 31c | 653$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.92 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rangers | 68c | 514.56$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.57 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Devils | 46c | 482.4$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Rangers | 68c | 478.77$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.23 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Devils | 32c | 345.56$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.98 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 59c | 337.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.79 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf5…3872backed Rangers | 70c | 300$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Devils | 34c | 298.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.11 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…cf00backed Rangers | 70c | 282$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers | 59c | 263.41$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Devils | 32c | 239.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Devils | 31c | 182$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…39e3backed Rangers | 70c | 178$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Devils | 46c | 176.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…e9f6backed Devils | 30c | 176$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Devils | 50c | 172$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.51 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Rangers | 57c | 163.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.92 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322d…8a90backed Devils | 30c | 157$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…d9aabacked Devils | 30c | 155$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7158…4eaebacked Rangers | 70c | 142$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bb…6736backed Devils | 30c | 129$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Rangers | 69c | 120.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…146abacked Devils | 33c | 118.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf146…fd00backed Devils | 34c | 116.94$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…eafebacked Devils | 30c | 114$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +136.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Devils | 40c | 107$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Devils | 32c | 106.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers | 68c | 94.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.02 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Devils | 47c | 92.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Devils | 45c | 85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Devils | 43c | 80.32$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Rangers | 67c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Devils | 75c | 76.92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Devils | 31c | 58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Devils | 48c | 54.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 37c | 51.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Devils | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Devils | 43c | 40.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc6…bcbabacked Rangers | 72c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…535cbacked Rangers | 72c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Rangers | 58c | 35.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Devils | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Rangers | 72c | 28.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…66d8backed Rangers | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5912…0dd4backed Rangers | 72c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rangers | 69c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Devils | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Rangers | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Rangers | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…ed82backed Rangers | 71c | 16.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f71…31b7backed Rangers | 69c | 15.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc763…be8bbacked Rangers | 70c | 15.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…9e2bbacked Rangers | 70c | 14.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)this page
- Devils vs. RangersDevils won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.