NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34b3ce3bff99f48763a33b1cad80c5e98db66f98c1a66212effca99c753ded6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,353 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 44c | 8,318$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.32 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Over | 56c | 3,751$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650.42 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Under | 44c | 3,740$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,645.77 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Over | 56c | 3,685$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.84 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under | 44c | 3,242$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.47 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 45c | 2,889$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 45c | 2,555$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.75 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 55c | 2,200$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…04b7backed Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 3c | 1,953$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 40c | 1,283$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.78 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 58c | 1,100$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 44c | 1,036$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.34 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 56c | 932$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.08 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 808.3$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.12 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 57c | 493.3$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 436.15$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.31 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.51 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…abdfbacked Over | 55c | 345.56$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 56c | 289.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.59 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 42c | 288.75$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.28 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 56c | 286.93$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 44c | 243.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 56c | 209.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.53 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 40c | 187.71$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 45c | 132.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 55c | 115.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 43c | 97.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15dc…831fbacked Under | 46c | 90.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 42c | 87.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under | 44c | 82.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 44c | 73.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 43c | 69.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 56c | 66.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 46c | 46.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 41c | 46.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…250dbacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…1cdebacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 44c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…595fbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 44c | 34.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 34.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 42c | 32.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 55c | 28.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Under | 46c | 26.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Over | 57c | 24.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 20.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d1…4cb7backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Devils vs. RangersDevils won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.