NHL · resolved market
Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff9548806ccfa67b3f8a20e42cddc71a973137ec45cf4539268327d918aa8f22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,352 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b90…0880backed Under | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e0…4659backed Over | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 4,068$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.09 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Under | 23c | 1,013$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.57 | 137 | 49.6%68 W · 69 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 77c | 893.71$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.24 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 56c | 740.66$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.77 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 44c | 577$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.12 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 56c | 577$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.12 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0537…13b6backed Under | 54c | 566.81$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.08 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 56c | 465.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…d787backed Under | 57c | 460$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…6c64backed Over | 44c | 460$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Under | 56c | 360$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 56c | 353$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.68 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 46c | 304.35$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2042…f9e7backed Under | 62c | 215.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 64c | 207.5$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Over | 38c | 149.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.64 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 45c | 138.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1849…8916backed Under | 58c | 129$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef7…d842backed Under | 12c | 125.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 72c | 100.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 76 | 64.5%49 W · 27 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 44c | 92.06$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Under | 55c | 90.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 75c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 79.87$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…0022backed Over | 45c | 64.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 45c | 58.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 44c | 48.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…763dbacked Under | 56c | 47.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Over | 44c | 43.63$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +18.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3a…250dbacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 73c | 30.97$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 54c | 30.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…f538backed Under | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Devils vs. RangersDevils won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Devils won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Devils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.