Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cary: Kristina Liutova vs Lucrezia Stefanini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc807371997fe1c1a3ae713a3b11cd5112ea510210f049c764ef00d2f3779bd0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucrezia Stefaniniof Kristina Liutova, Lucrezia Stefanini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 59c | 3,385$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.91 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 44c | 2,013$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.59 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kristina Liutova | 39c | 1,420$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.01 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 31c | 1,142$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.97 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Kristina Liutova | 43c | 906.98$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kristina Liutova | 58c | 838.74$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.78 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Kristina Liutova | 39c | 750.84$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.53 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 57c | 652.64$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.74 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Kristina Liutova | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Kristina Liutova | 45c | 503.39$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.12 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Kristina Liutova | 39c | 341$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Kristina Liutova | 39c | 305.49$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Kristina Liutova | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kristina Liutova | 74c | 201.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Kristina Liutova | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Kristina Liutova | 56c | 190.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Kristina Liutova | 50c | 172.91$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.46 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…7fd6backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 24c | 150.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.96 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 35c | 140.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.36 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Kristina Liutova | 72c | 119.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 23c | 112.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Kristina Liutova | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Kristina Liutova | 40c | 105.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Kristina Liutova | 50c | 100.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 38c | 80.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Kristina Liutova | 56c | 79.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Kristina Liutova | 54c | 78.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Kristina Liutova | 40c | 78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kristina Liutova | 76c | 71.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kristina Liutova | 65c | 67.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 32c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Kristina Liutova | 39c | 58.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Kristina Liutova | 35c | 54.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Kristina Liutova | 77c | 54.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Kristina Liutova | 39c | 49.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 61c | 40.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5c…8d37backed Kristina Liutova | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Kristina Liutova | 39c | 38.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Kristina Liutova | 77c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Kristina Liutova | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…2484backed Kristina Liutova | 39c | 29.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Kristina Liutova | 39c | 27.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 77c | 24.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 61c | 23.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Kristina Liutova | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Kristina Liutova | 80c | 18.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Cary: Kristina Liutova vs Lucrezia Stefaninithis page
- Set Handicap: Liutova (-1.5) vs Stefanini (+1.5)Stefanini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.