CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca555465164bd39273949dcfb44cd481d27617a1516f6a9875d3370a0e5b2383
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- B8of B8, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,836
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,836 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Lynn Vision | 64c | 15,000$9,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,556.65 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked B8 | 36c | 6,172$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950.22 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Lynn Vision | 24c | 2,304$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.06 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed B8 | 36c | 2,078$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.91 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Lynn Vision | 58c | 1,723$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.37 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed B8 | 42c | 1,405$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.76 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed B8 | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.12 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed B8 | 42c | 1,200$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked B8 | 41c | 1,110$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.2 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed B8 | 77c | 914.66$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed B8 | 40c | 814.78$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.04 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Lynn Vision | 58c | 681.43$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.23 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked B8 | 42c | 560$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.8 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Lynn Vision | 62c | 518.86$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.13 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e8…fafcbacked B8 | 36c | 510.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.03 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed B8 | 36c | 500.61$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked B8 | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Lynn Vision | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…489fbacked B8 | 36c | 485.42$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Lynn Vision | 64c | 432$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.33 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked B8 | 40c | 421.11$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.11 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed B8 | 36c | 264.55$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Lynn Vision | 60c | 263.16$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.21 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Lynn Vision | 59c | 255$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.45 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed B8 | 36c | 230$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lynn Vision | 59c | 223.6$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.87 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked B8 | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb603…c701backed B8 | 36c | 185.17$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked B8 | 37c | 184.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.72 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e96…e128backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…01d6backed B8 | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.56 | 203 | 49.3%100 W · 103 L | -12.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed B8 | 42c | 155$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed B8 | 38c | 149.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed B8 | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked B8 | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Lynn Vision | 61c | 82.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked B8 | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked B8 | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed B8 | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…7289backed Lynn Vision | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Lynn Vision | 60c | 75.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Lynn Vision | 63c | 67.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Lynn Vision | 59c | 65.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x010a…7084backed Lynn Vision | 63c | 48.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed B8 | 46c | 47.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…cf59backed Lynn Vision | 80c | 44.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 43.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lynn Vision | 63c | 42.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed B8 | 49c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked B8 | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked B8 | 41c | 36.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Lynn Vision | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdb…0d6fbacked Lynn Vision | 58c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4358…3e76backed B8 | 40c | 33.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed B8 | 46c | 32.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Lynn Vision | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 63.2%151 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked B8 | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…df5dbacked B8 | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed B8 | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Lynn Vision | 64c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Lynn Vision | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed B8 | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)B8 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.