CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5ffba9ceab13f5546aa4a977509687c78bf1b3af632a232f1ae0c808d5fe3782
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 36c | 2,178$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.44 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 63c | 2,160$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.82 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 55c | 1,013$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.55 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 45c | 979$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.55 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 60c | 308.39$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.97 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Over | 20c | 244$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed Over | 46c | 203.68$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 54c | 170.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 49c | 144.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 74c | 127.87$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 55c | 114.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.36 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 194 | 53.1%103 W · 91 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 50c | 101.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 62c | 94.25$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.04 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 71c | 87.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 26c | 65.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…5d9bbacked Over | 48c | 62.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 52c | 43.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 279 | 54.1%151 W · 128 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 43c | 40.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…5968backed Under | 57c | 38.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 67c | 38.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 602 | 32.4%195 W · 407 L | -49.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 50c | 31.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed Over | 35c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 41c | 29.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x098d…6cc2backed Under | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 58c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerB8 won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Lynn Vision (+3.5)B8 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.