Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Alexandrova/Joint
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x448ea522673a9fd7f21d1b8694949b0f08cefed0bccda96c3d8bb6572ce8c703
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guo/Mladenovicof Guo/Mladenovic, Alexandrova/Joint
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3663…8950backed Alexandrova/Joint | 34c | 7,240$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445.19 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +21.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 63c | 3,263$2,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.64 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guo/Mladenovic | 66c | 3,183$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.65 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alexandrova/Joint | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Guo/Mladenovic | 69c | 676.55$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.59 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 668.87$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.35 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alexandrova/Joint | 31c | 599.95$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Alexandrova/Joint | 35c | 299.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 1,540 | 49.2%758 W · 782 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa5…7059backed Alexandrova/Joint | 35c | 167.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Guo/Mladenovic | 64c | 138.17$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 112.18$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Alexandrova/Joint | 37c | 105$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 104.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…c1e0backed Alexandrova/Joint | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c53…d737backed Guo/Mladenovic | 69c | 78.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Alexandrova/Joint | 31c | 65.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…f8c7backed Guo/Mladenovic | 69c | 58.31$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Alexandrova/Joint | 33c | 58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alexandrova/Joint | 39c | 56.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Guo/Mladenovic | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…1b9fbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Guo/Mladenovic | 65c | 42.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Alexandrova/Joint | 35c | 42.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Guo/Mladenovic | 70c | 32.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Guo/Mladenovic | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…e570backed Alexandrova/Joint | 32c | 31.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 518 | 35.1%182 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae85…c96abacked Guo/Mladenovic | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -21.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a7f8backed Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 28.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Guo/Mladenovic | 61c | 26.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Guo/Mladenovic | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Guo/Mladenovic | 68c | 18.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Guo/Mladenovic | 66c | 15.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.