Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Boulter vs Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cf929462f40effcd9cc16f0aec875f7d0b0c9e07575aeade48d27b01d81ae2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boulterof Boulter, Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,208
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,208 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Maneiro | 1c | 7,410$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Maneiro | 2c | 785.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Maneiro | 48c | 771.27$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.87 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Boulter | 18c | 543.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.17 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…d66abacked Boulter | 80c | 460$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…d5d0backed Boulter | 76c | 367.04$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.09 | 247 | 62.3%154 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Maneiro | 5c | 326.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Boulter | 16c | 258.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.39 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…ac29backed Maneiro | 52c | 192.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Maneiro | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Maneiro | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Boulter | 51c | 51.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcf…f174backed Maneiro | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…2bf4backed Maneiro | 34c | 43.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Boulter | 62c | 40.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Maneiro | 42c | 31.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…4596backed Boulter | 38c | 31.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f7…f85cbacked Maneiro | 74c | 24.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Boulter | 58c | 22.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8809…9846backed Boulter | 58c | 17.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Boulter | 77c | 17.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.03 | 174 | 58.6%102 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Boulter vs Maneirothis page
- Boulter vs. Maneiro: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Katie Boulter vs. Jessica Bouzas Maneiro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Katie Boulter vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroKatie Boulter won
- Set Handicap: Boulter (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)Boulter won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.