CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab437a2df13bb1f2e319a21da8eb06b8772409f34fec1791eb86018b406c2a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Honvédof Honvéd, OlyBet SB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed OlyBet SB | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Honvéd | 64c | 1,000$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed OlyBet SB | 22c | 956.81$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.1 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed OlyBet SB | 37c | 545$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.52 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Honvéd | 59c | 444.42$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Honvéd | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed OlyBet SB | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed OlyBet SB | 47c | 399.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked Honvéd | 53c | 348.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.85 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed OlyBet SB | 58c | 343.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed OlyBet SB | 43c | 272.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed OlyBet SB | 41c | 243.6$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.92 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked OlyBet SB | 32c | 175.3$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked OlyBet SB | 43c | 146.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Honvéd | 56c | 141.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked OlyBet SB | 38c | 128.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Honvéd | 42c | 107.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.3 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae0…8661backed Honvéd | 56c | 104.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked OlyBet SB | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…4907backed Honvéd | 79c | 72.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…6aa1backed Honvéd | 58c | 65.7$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 79 | 70.9%56 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd122…5d93backed OlyBet SB | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Honvéd | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Honvéd | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 162 | 56.8%92 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Honvéd | 79c | 38.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Honvéd | 50c | 37.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Honvéd | 70c | 37.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…fe1abacked OlyBet SB | 40c | 35.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Honvéd | 70c | 28.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Honvéd | 59c | 25.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Honvéd | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Honvéd | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group AHonvéd won
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB - Map 1 WinnerOlyBet SB won
- Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs OlyBet SB (+1.5)OlyBet SB won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.