CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs OlyBet SB (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeeb45fbf4e5c7f0ab4ed79d5d4b04cf94b2844dcd7fed1e6af1916b1f43d1cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OlyBet SBof Honvéd, OlyBet SB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,262
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,262 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3101…7544backed Honvéd | 40c | 7,058$2,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed OlyBet SB | 65c | 5,000$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Honvéd | 56c | 1,584$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.28 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed OlyBet SB | 47c | 1,483$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.09 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Honvéd | 46c | 1,042$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.8 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed OlyBet SB | 46c | 799.75$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.75 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked OlyBet SB | 50c | 633.14$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.57 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed OlyBet SB | 43c | 585.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.91 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Honvéd | 63c | 395.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.36 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed OlyBet SB | 44c | 254.19$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.35 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…89f3backed OlyBet SB | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe075…bf89backed OlyBet SB | 48c | 239.58$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed OlyBet SB | 44c | 229.01$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.7 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed OlyBet SB | 51c | 220$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed OlyBet SB | 55c | 205.26$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.46 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Honvéd | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked OlyBet SB | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Honvéd | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d37…ba9ebacked OlyBet SB | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb0f…084cbacked OlyBet SB | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed OlyBet SB | 50c | 63.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Honvéd | 52c | 30.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs OlyBet SB (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group AHonvéd won
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB - Map 1 WinnerOlyBet SB won
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB - Map 2 WinnerHonvéd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.