CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83f49949ae8a7369bcb93d7e1fa17d3ce29fc1c32688d69d325c173f418a5341
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OlyBet SBof Honvéd, OlyBet SB
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3101…7544backed Honvéd | 49c | 13,210$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed OlyBet SB | 35c | 7,742$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,050.62 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Honvéd | 60c | 7,292$4,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.79 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed OlyBet SB | 45c | 5,377$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,936.73 | 358 | 39.4%141 W · 217 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked OlyBet SB | 63c | 4,863$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803.38 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed Honvéd | 26c | 4,447$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.47 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Honvéd | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.96 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Honvéd | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked OlyBet SB | 51c | 1,291$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.93 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Honvéd | 49c | 1,214$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.19 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed OlyBet SB | 43c | 1,188$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.26 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked OlyBet SB | 42c | 883.28$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.84 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed OlyBet SB | 39c | 882.49$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.45 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked OlyBet SB | 40c | 746.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.67 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed OlyBet SB | 53c | 745.32$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.15 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed OlyBet SB | 50c | 600.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.6 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed OlyBet SB | 61c | 593.27$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed OlyBet SB | 40c | 473.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.75 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed OlyBet SB | 58c | 469.13$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.34 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked OlyBet SB | 64c | 464.15$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.09 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Honvéd | 49c | 400.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.03 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked OlyBet SB | 33c | 305.75$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.49 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Honvéd | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed OlyBet SB | 64c | 284.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 401 | 55.1%221 W · 180 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed OlyBet SB | 39c | 256.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.92 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked OlyBet SB | 36c | 240.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.58 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0da…749bbacked OlyBet SB | 63c | 217.65$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.61 | 302 | 23.2%70 W · 232 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Honvéd | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 55.4%221 W · 178 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed OlyBet SB | 43c | 167.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed OlyBet SB | 64c | 151.72$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…08f8backed OlyBet SB | 33c | 150.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Honvéd | 55c | 147.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 655 | 48.9%320 W · 335 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked OlyBet SB | 50c | 147.52$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed OlyBet SB | 41c | 141.29$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Honvéd | 55c | 140.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked OlyBet SB | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Honvéd | 65c | 95.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed OlyBet SB | 38c | 94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Honvéd | 60c | 88.05$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Honvéd | 55c | 72.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Honvéd | 60c | 65.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7a…d503backed Honvéd | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed OlyBet SB | 30c | 58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…4907backed OlyBet SB | 69c | 57.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Honvéd | 32c | 56.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5539…19f8backed OlyBet SB | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Honvéd | 46c | 48.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Honvéd | 61c | 39.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed OlyBet SB | 51c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7421…8ac2backed OlyBet SB | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed OlyBet SB | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec24…d744backed OlyBet SB | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Honvéd | 60c | 17.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group AHonvéd won
- Counter-Strike: Honvéd vs OlyBet SB - Map 2 WinnerHonvéd won
- Map Handicap: Honvéd (-1.5) vs OlyBet SB (+1.5)OlyBet SB won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.