Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x164a9d978f37bbf8fdb5bdd4261f5881b07a8d6032c16cba85ae4eed47b4b1d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RE.Ariseof RE.Arise, PuckChamp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked PuckChamp | 32c | 10,765$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.05 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed PuckChamp | 32c | 9,392$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.58 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked RE.Arise | 66c | 5,390$3,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.91 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed RE.Arise | 54c | 4,200$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.97 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed RE.Arise | 70c | 4,016$2,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.95 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked RE.Arise | 64c | 3,746$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.2 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked RE.Arise | 68c | 3,730$2,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.17 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed PuckChamp | 30c | 2,900$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.05 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PuckChamp | 36c | 2,395$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.72 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked PuckChamp | 29c | 2,294$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.62 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed RE.Arise | 68c | 2,207$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.87 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed RE.Arise | 74c | 2,022$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.51 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PuckChamp | 31c | 1,454$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.7 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PuckChamp | 30c | 1,446$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.68 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed RE.Arise | 69c | 1,284$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.39 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked RE.Arise | 63c | 1,249$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PuckChamp | 63c | 1,104$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked RE.Arise | 68c | 1,072$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.15 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed PuckChamp | 17c | 999.97$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed PuckChamp | 30c | 998$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.72 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked PuckChamp | 31c | 972.47$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.59 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked RE.Arise | 69c | 859.32$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.65 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed RE.Arise | 64c | 753.83$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.96 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed PuckChamp | 26c | 739.46$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed RE.Arise | 59c | 700$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked RE.Arise | 71c | 671$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.72 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked RE.Arise | 73c | 636.79$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.93 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked RE.Arise | 71c | 599.96$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PuckChamp | 30c | 555.74$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.64 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked PuckChamp | 34c | 509.95$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.25 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed PuckChamp | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed PuckChamp | 44c | 484.94$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.23 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked RE.Arise | 65c | 479.24$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed RE.Arise | 70c | 463.78$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.77 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed RE.Arise | 70c | 439.99$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.9 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed PuckChamp | 37c | 437.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked RE.Arise | 70c | 432.14$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.16 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed RE.Arise | 68c | 380$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed PuckChamp | 5c | 376$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 500 | 32.2%161 W · 339 L | -47.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked PuckChamp | 41c | 355.96$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.85 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed PuckChamp | 48c | 339.8$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RE.Arise | 70c | 335.76$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed PuckChamp | 30c | 333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…af63backed PuckChamp | 17c | 331.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed RE.Arise | 68c | 326.35$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PuckChamp | 33c | 325.91$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac60…b775backed RE.Arise | 49c | 325.59$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed PuckChamp | 6c | 322.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…51b8backed RE.Arise | 69c | 321.74$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PuckChamp | 23c | 309.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed PuckChamp | 39c | 299.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed RE.Arise | 69c | 295$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb84…21a7backed PuckChamp | 31c | 293.39$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed RE.Arise | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed PuckChamp | 16c | 243.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.82 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed RE.Arise | 71c | 224$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed RE.Arise | 73c | 217.77$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed PuckChamp | 37c | 216.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.21 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed RE.Arise | 71c | 213.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.47 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed PuckChamp | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +11.3wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…3540backed RE.Arise | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…3e9bbacked RE.Arise | 67c | 200$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed RE.Arise | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked RE.Arise | 72c | 195.01$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 222 | 40.1%89 W · 133 L | -14.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked RE.Arise | 71c | 194.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked RE.Arise | 72c | 193.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc37d…e586backed PuckChamp | 34c | 193.38$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 387 | 59.4%230 W · 157 L | +26.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…7535backed RE.Arise | 69c | 191.84$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PuckChamp | 38c | 182$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked PuckChamp | 33c | 179.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed PuckChamp | 31c | 170$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked PuckChamp | 20c | 169$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed PuckChamp | 33c | 167.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed RE.Arise | 71c | 165.24$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked RE.Arise | 68c | 162.1$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked RE.Arise | 74c | 152.92$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed RE.Arise | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked RE.Arise | 69c | 146.22$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed PuckChamp | 39c | 145$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed PuckChamp | 31c | 144.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed PuckChamp | 21c | 133$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked RE.Arise | 39c | 129.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.22 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked RE.Arise | 69c | 124$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked PuckChamp | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed PuckChamp | 31c | 115.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…dbd7backed PuckChamp | 32c | 114.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 400 | 47.5%190 W · 210 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked RE.Arise | 61c | 110.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked PuckChamp | 30c | 106.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d3…271dbacked RE.Arise | 68c | 102.81$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed PuckChamp | 30c | 93.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked RE.Arise | 34c | 89.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed RE.Arise | 71c | 88$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked RE.Arise | 70c | 87.71$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked PuckChamp | 33c | 85.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed RE.Arise | 59c | 85.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7415…b585backed PuckChamp | 24c | 84.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed RE.Arise | 64c | 84.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed PuckChamp | 61c | 80.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked RE.Arise | 29c | 79.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PuckChamp | 24c | 71.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp (BO3) - European Pro League Group ARE.Arise won
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs PuckChamp - Game 2 WinnerRE.Arise won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.