Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon: Cerundolo vs. Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x234b4206395c99a3ce02a6a85463878244cc0cc785213fccbba23bf436afc428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borges of Cerundolo, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,872
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,872 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Borges | 37c | 8,286$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,227.84 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f43…fab3backed Cerundolo | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Cerundolo | 18c | 3,933$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.94 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Borges | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Borges | 38c | 1,445$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.41 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Cerundolo | 62c | 1,173$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 98 | 41.8%41 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Borges | 23c | 1,110$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.28 | 373 | 30.3%113 W · 260 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cerundolo | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Borges | 40c | 766.8$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.86 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c3…b35abacked Borges | 40c | 548.07$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Cerundolo | 61c | 495.59$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Borges | 76c | 450$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.94 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Borges | 55c | 398.05$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Cerundolo | 51c | 360$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Cerundolo | 61c | 352.93$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.29 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…38adbacked Cerundolo | 62c | 344.17$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Cerundolo | 67c | 300.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.84 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Borges | 55c | 260$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Borges | 39c | 245$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.62 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Borges | 38c | 224$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Borges | 41c | 210$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cerundolo | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Borges | 33c | 181.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.64 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Cerundolo | 80c | 160.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…e20fbacked Cerundolo | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Cerundolo | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -13.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cerundolo | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Cerundolo | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Borges | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Borges | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +45%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Cerundolo | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Cerundolo | 64c | 95.16$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Cerundolo | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Borges | 60c | 68.68$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Borges | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Borges | 37c | 45.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Borges | 40c | 42.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd876…767ebacked Borges | 39c | 40.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ed…92bebacked Borges | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8e…27ffbacked Borges | 37c | 33.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Borges | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…7919backed Cerundolo | 58c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853d…f8d4backed Borges | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6023…a142backed Cerundolo | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.