Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. England: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe989ac7fd86b2df3044935b4fcd0dd7bf1e15464fd18589dbc56e51ae27fe599
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 37c | 2,579$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 35c | 1,227$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.73 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 67c | 779.09$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.16 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 73c | 667.21$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.99 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 58c | 661.21$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.56 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 63c | 650.34$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.67 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 66c | 644$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.84 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 55c | 612.5$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.99 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 67c | 554.83$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.12 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.71 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 37c | 509$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.67 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 35c | 505.32$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.46 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 62c | 500.98$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.61 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Yes | 32c | 419.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.17 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +49%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 200 | 17%34 W · 166 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 68c | 300.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 40c | 282.52$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 79c | 276$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.57 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2db…31cabacked Yes | 41c | 270.18$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.18 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 66c | 269.54$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.9 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196f…b9aabacked Yes | 34c | 255.88$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.88 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 63c | 204$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 63c | 174$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 68c | 164.33$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.02 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked No | 66c | 139.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 67c | 136.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.79 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5492…9776backed Yes | 35c | 134$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 61c | 132.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 62c | 104.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21fe…da90backed No | 68c | 99.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.99 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 30c | 86.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8f…6de5backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 37c | 73.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.95 | 149 | 55%82 W · 67 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 41c | 73.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa20d…76bcbacked Yes | 40c | 60.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db2…defebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 48.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x017d…8badbacked Yes | 35c | 45.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 35.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Yes | 39c | 31.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 60c | 29.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 76c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c8…49bcbacked No | 70c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7f…2015backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc520…325cbacked Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 73c | 17.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. England: Second half draw?this page
- England to win the second half?No won
- Mexico to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.