Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2c5b5346b8eb6447307f75cac28c332ab0fc3f06a15410d8230285c9e9bcb97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 56c | 24,893$13,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,952.96 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 23,267$9,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,787.85 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 31c | 11,417$3,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.87 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 69c | 6,538$4,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.71 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 44c | 5,911$2,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.86 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 67c | 3,599$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.51 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 21c | 3,460$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.53 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 72c | 3,209$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.01 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 69c | 2,375$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.4 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…26e9backed Yes | 43c | 2,184$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.24 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 43c | 1,917$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.62 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 32c | 1,436$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.43 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbc…96a6backed Yes | 31c | 1,422$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.23 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 31c | 1,246$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 58c | 944.82$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.15 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked No | 69c | 893$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.83 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 28c | 817.15$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.4 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 30c | 764.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.82 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…f5b8backed Yes | 67c | 751.71$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed No | 70c | 697.08$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.98 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 664.66$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.23 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 28c | 644.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.46 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed No | 69c | 605.28$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.96 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 69c | 599.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…529cbacked No | 71c | 587.19$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Yes | 30c | 561.95$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.21 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked No | 72c | 507$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.61 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6a2dbacked No | 70c | 459.55$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017d…8badbacked No | 68c | 443.66$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 37c | 423$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.95 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 70c | 368.37$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 55c | 358.48$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.55 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 31c | 352$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff1…e56dbacked Yes | 32c | 348.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.04 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…2152backed No | 71c | 336.88$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.03 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x284b…f1ddbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 58c | 318.63$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.61 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 68c | 315.94$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226a…258abacked No | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 58c | 276$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.65 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcb…5c30backed Yes | 42c | 260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed No | 71c | 251.69$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.02 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 41c | 220.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked No | 67c | 203.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…163abacked Yes | 27c | 197$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 189$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 188.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 70c | 188.23$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 186$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…c177backed No | 71c | 184.5$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +185.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d90…42bebacked No | 70c | 182.86$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 64c | 166.64$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.21 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe261…734bbacked No | 70c | 163.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…6afdbacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 34c | 148.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fb…5ef5backed No | 67c | 138.51$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 136.11$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.16 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 54c | 135$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 56c | 124.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 119.32$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f1a1backed No | 70c | 118$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…fa5dbacked Yes | 31c | 114.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b99…8f62backed Yes | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fd…b710backed Yes | 44c | 101.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 330 | 40%132 W · 198 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 39c | 95.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed No | 58c | 84.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 55c | 78.62$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 30c | 77.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 21c | 74.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0337…e1e0backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…b07ebacked Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…e981backed Yes | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 16c | 64.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…fbd7backed Yes | 29c | 63.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 47c | 57.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.51 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 53.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 69c | 52.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed No | 69c | 52.03$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Yes | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 54c | 48.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 38c | 48.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 71c | 48.23$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9113…196abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…87b3backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb264…39ffbacked No | 63c | 39.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 70c | 37.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 34c | 37.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad1b…1d65backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico to win the second half?this page
- England to win the second half?No won
- Mexico vs. England: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.