Fifa International · resolved market
England to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x437132c7fa0303b85cb2f3fd88c736170925518eb2c22e74e0bce4a00c4beb2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 72c | 22,247$16,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,158.78 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 27c | 11,628$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 27c | 8,077$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.39 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 6,889$2,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.77 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 26c | 5,324$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,375.62 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 73c | 1,784$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.66 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 1,081$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.69 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 66c | 999.95$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 68c | 912.1$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.96 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 45c | 807.29$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.47 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209b…ecc6backed Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 46c | 733.87$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.19 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 63c | 664.66$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.74 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 70c | 580.02$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.16 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 77c | 575$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.91 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387a…8eaebacked Yes | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 329 | 28%92 W · 237 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 66c | 495.55$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.49 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 67c | 482.26$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.34 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed Yes | 34c | 451$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7503…2116backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed No | 65c | 359.77$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.54 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Yes | 30c | 354.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked Yes | 33c | 340$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Yes | 61c | 327.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 28c | 317.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 78c | 277.28$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 37c | 244$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.28 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 75c | 239.28$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 57c | 227$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.62 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 55c | 219.78$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 14c | 213.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…cf6fbacked Yes | 16c | 183.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Yes | 46c | 181.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 52c | 176.89$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 66c | 171$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.14 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…4e04backed Yes | 34c | 170.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb79…47a9backed Yes | 8c | 143.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 27c | 143.52$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 136.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 58c | 135$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 34c | 129.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.01 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 26c | 111.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 14c | 105.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 66c | 78.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 72c | 74.96$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 62c | 69.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.72 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…b08abacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 67c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 19c | 53.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf70…52fbbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…9132backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 48.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 54c | 39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…738dbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 67c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 68c | 21.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 55c | 19.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed No | 75c | 14.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England to win the second half?this page
- Mexico to win the second half?No won
- Mexico vs. England: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.