Fifa International · resolved market
Will Denmark win on 2025-09-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x626bb25a6a27573d4eb0773b5eb77e678e2192b70db268e17d1c81f30ef2de1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,105
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,105 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 9,262$6,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,039.9 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed No | 35c | 7,500$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,849.8 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 55c | 6,370$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 68c | 3,680$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 33c | 2,541$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.38 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 1,311$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.6 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 38c | 1,242$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.11 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 33c | 1,095$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.32 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 67c | 800$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 50c | 720.75$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.29 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 66c | 680.43$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.08 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 38c | 636.34$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 34c | 600$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 56c | 586.18$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.07 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 64c | 556.25$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 67c | 522.39$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 36c | 415.38$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 69c | 391.7$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.27 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 64c | 367.19$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 36c | 321.13$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.49 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 63c | 293$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.69 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed No | 35c | 250$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 65c | 168.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…a950backed Yes | 67c | 166.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…b04abacked Yes | 55c | 158.08$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…c5f2backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 63c | 142.36$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4b…0b9ebacked Yes | 68c | 111.43$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 263 | 54.8%144 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 48c | 101.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 35c | 95.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…7f7bbacked Yes | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 37c | 89.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 33c | 66.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…c149backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92e2…d22ebacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed Yes | 46c | 34.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…08a6backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb485…28d0backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…edfcbacked Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Denmark win on 2025-09-05?this page
- Will Denmark vs. Scotland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Scotland win on 2025-09-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.