Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd94412a33a27b6eabf245293711e9f38064d889de951d3c92662fd132cc2694f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $290,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 8c | 119,988$10,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,016.22 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 10c | 46,611$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 7c | 19,668$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.99 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked No | 1c | 16,512$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 6c | 14,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 5c | 13,194$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.35 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 6,184$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.97 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 7c | 5,001$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.02 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 8c | 4,215$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 7c | 2,832$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.98 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 9c | 1,442$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 3c | 1,270$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 6c | 1,264$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 7c | 600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked No | 8c | 433$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 5c | 349.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 7c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 224$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 7c | 145$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-09-06?this page
- Will San Marino vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?No won
- Will San Marino win on 2025-09-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.