Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x675dcd468221822fe13b98232334522da3158b9c0a74396d8333d0330e2ac182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 1c | 1,394$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 2c | 867.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 6c | 731.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 29c | 307.79$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.24 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 74c | 306.25$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 44c | 292.2$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.55 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 283.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.96 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 50c | 210$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.76 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 33c | 202.6$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.09 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…e2bdbacked No | 55c | 180.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +20.6wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 178$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 20c | 169$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 45c | 168.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 71c | 162.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 55c | 137.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed No | 57c | 120.18$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 54c | 110.41$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 56c | 106.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed5c…8cf8backed Yes | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 259 | 35.1%91 W · 168 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 53c | 94.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 45c | 94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.38 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 33c | 91.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.93 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 42c | 90.67$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 26c | 90.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked Yes | 37c | 85.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 55c | 83.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 83.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 47c | 79.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 50c | 77.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked Yes | 46c | 71.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 16c | 71.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 14c | 70$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…2db3backed Yes | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 55c | 68.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9a96…cf5cbacked Yes | 29c | 67.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 27c | 63.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 40c | 57.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 310 | 50.3%156 W · 154 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 25c | 54.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 34c | 53.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 54c | 52.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked Yes | 45c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed No | 48c | 49.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 49.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 46c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…9899backed Yes | 36c | 41.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…97d1backed Yes | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe9…64adbacked Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 213 | 39%83 W · 130 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 40c | 39.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed No | 54c | 39.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 64c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 51c | 38.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 34c | 37.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 43c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 35c | 34.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 68c | 34.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 43c | 33.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…c49ebacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,110 | 65%722 W · 388 L | +38.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…bf91backed Yes | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 54c | 31.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 58c | 31.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 45c | 30.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 65c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…c1b8backed Yes | 39c | 30.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…51cdbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 60c | 28.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf651…86b1backed Yes | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 68c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 21.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 20.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01d…ee2fbacked No | 53c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 20.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1987…1d94backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 53c | 19.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 64c | 16.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.