Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff7654b67779cd791d70b0fc4ec29b199e3b4c764eac1dc4bbc5bd950e0dbe5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,985
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 748.7$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.78 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 571$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.79 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 38c | 547.8$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.16 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 38c | 442.4$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.85 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…0b5fbacked Yes | 41c | 399.99$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 39c | 394.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.27 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20c…451abacked No | 67c | 362.89$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 80 | 16.3%13 W · 67 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 38c | 254.99$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 247.66$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 230.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 39c | 216.09$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 62c | 207.68$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 51c | 204.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…02febacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 33c | 199.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 39c | 198.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 40c | 192.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.26 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 37c | 186.74$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.06 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…2e8abacked Yes | 45c | 176.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.53 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 32c | 175.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 39c | 174.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 167.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 166.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.4 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…9300backed Yes | 39c | 158.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 57c | 157.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 62c | 152.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked No | 60c | 148.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 62c | 147.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 73c | 143.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 71c | 141.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 40c | 140$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.84 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 135.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 133.89$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…e90abacked Yes | 47c | 133.28$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 70c | 132.75$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 131.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 72c | 131.08$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 130.08$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 37c | 129.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 70c | 125.88$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 59c | 113.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 44c | 112.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 36c | 112.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 65c | 110$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 31c | 107.3$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 40c | 107.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 75c | 106.19$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 60c | 105.6$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 26c | 105.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 38c | 105$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 35c | 103.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 99.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb3…5131backed Yes | 52c | 98.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 32c | 98.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 33c | 98.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed No | 62c | 97.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 38c | 95.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 93.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes | 36c | 89.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 86.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 35c | 85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2720…2920backed Yes | 36c | 83.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9f…894fbacked Yes | 40c | 82.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 63c | 81.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…3033backed Yes | 35c | 80.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 38c | 79.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea4…90edbacked Yes | 30c | 75.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3f…af73backed Yes | 41c | 73.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 66c | 73.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…4e68backed Yes | 40c | 72.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 33c | 71.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -11.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 34c | 71.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 67c | 70.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 39c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 66c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 65.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 65.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 32c | 62.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 33c | 61.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 63c | 60.92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…202cbacked No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 32c | 56.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 61c | 56.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0253…bcadbacked Yes | 43c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 36c | 55.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed No | 62c | 55.47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 23c | 54.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 36c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 52c | 52.75$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 64c | 52.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 51.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 69c | 50.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.