Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7f6041ea1ee78c6800d878c990f5672b0363817dc8a7fd3cc4a645109ac0651
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 51c | 919.7$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.28 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 9c | 797.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 19c | 660.94$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 564 | 24.5%138 W · 426 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 44c | 506.18$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.27 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 30c | 429.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 43c | 408.34$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.36 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 44c | 395$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.89 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 365$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.9 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 37c | 359.86$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.43 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 60c | 346.68$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.56 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 34c | 327$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.24 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 58c | 289.05$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.05 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…ca12backed Yes | 40c | 281.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 4c | 273.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 271.5$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.35 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 26c | 271.38$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed No | 9c | 239.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 50c | 199$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 32c | 189.4$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.13 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 57c | 186.43$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.84 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 42c | 171.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 60c | 171.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 29c | 169.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.88 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 7c | 168.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 48c | 166.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…ddd0backed No | 67c | 162.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 466 | 67.6%315 W · 151 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +334.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 34c | 153.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 39c | 153$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…260dbacked No | 12c | 150.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 66c | 147.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 49c | 135.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.93 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad6…29f2backed Yes | 42c | 120.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 112$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 36c | 110.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.6 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 64c | 102.94$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked No | 58c | 100.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.07 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 28c | 100.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf5…606bbacked No | 54c | 99.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 41c | 96.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…c51dbacked Yes | 35c | 91.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 32c | 91.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 58c | 91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 27c | 90.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.97 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 61c | 86.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 57c | 86.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 73c | 81.53$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 63c | 81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf01e…51cbbacked No | 62c | 80.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 64c | 77.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…da08backed Yes | 26c | 72.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b529backed Yes | 41c | 72.51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 616 | 29.4%181 W · 435 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 71.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3728…a76dbacked Yes | 27c | 68.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.07 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 66c | 67.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f7…1f0abacked Yes | 45c | 66.49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 33c | 65.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 56c | 64.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 44c | 61.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked No | 66c | 60.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 59.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 61c | 57.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 56.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 66c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5c…3033backed Yes | 37c | 54.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 37c | 53.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 452 | 36.5%165 W · 287 L | +20.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 61c | 53.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42c…51adbacked Yes | 38c | 52.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 52.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…012fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 61c | 52.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba88…a08ebacked No | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…b501backed Yes | 43c | 51.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 605 | 19.7%119 W · 486 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 35c | 51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…02febacked Yes | 46c | 50.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc23…64ebbacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 59c | 49.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 57c | 49.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 36c | 49.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 29c | 49.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 35c | 49.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 39c | 48.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 66c | 47.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 33c | 45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed No | 72c | 43.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13bc…f77ebacked Yes | 39c | 43.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 48c | 43.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on June 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.