Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7e6f209697c2ed97ec31c79fe9da7f2d4859505988a89c47ee61936c41f55ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 5c | 649.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 44c | 582.37$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 570.9$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.81 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 27c | 510.9$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 27c | 508$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…1fbfbacked No | 24c | 478.65$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 4c | 459.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 29c | 435.24$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 430.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.12 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 377$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.21 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…8528backed Yes | 37c | 342.47$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.71 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 42c | 319.89$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.9 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 39c | 297.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.01 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 55c | 297$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.46 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 296.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.13 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 43c | 295$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363b…6ff7backed Yes | 41c | 294.83$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.83 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 37c | 285.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 47c | 282$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed Yes | 43c | 258.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.57 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 64c | 251.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.71 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 71c | 230.41$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 58c | 208.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…3515backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 28c | 198.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 188.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 8c | 186.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed No | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a35…bdc6backed Yes | 43c | 165.49$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes | 41c | 157.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 35c | 155.65$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 64c | 155$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 40c | 155$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 26c | 152.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 57c | 146.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 73c | 145.73$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…ac6ebacked Yes | 36c | 138.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 77c | 137.35$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 34c | 136.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.01 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 39c | 136.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 42c | 128$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 45c | 127.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.94 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…30b0backed No | 67c | 126.4$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 46c | 125.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 49c | 124.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.49 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 42c | 121$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.18 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 61c | 114.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…6444backed No | 9c | 110.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 34c | 109.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 38c | 108.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 57c | 104.37$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.37 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 103.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 73c | 103.01$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…34e1backed Yes | 43c | 102.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 34c | 101$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…9bc4backed Yes | 29c | 99.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 30c | 95.39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.98 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 65c | 89.56$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.28 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed Yes | 58c | 88.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed Yes | 36c | 83.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 16c | 81.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked No | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 75c | 74.17$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 36c | 70.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 33c | 69.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 69.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 74c | 69.18$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 29c | 68.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 59c | 68.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed No | 36c | 66.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 33c | 65.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 43c | 64.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 43c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 40c | 60.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24cf…7e5cbacked Yes | 77c | 60.51$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 59.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 35c | 58.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 34c | 56.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 37c | 55.1$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 67c | 54.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 44c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…4eedbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…f753backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | +18.8wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.