Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x375b3965cd635ca24ee98e34d190a93e8ec5693bab67d3d2a023e1e853365006
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 2,757$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 36c | 902.27$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.25 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 745.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 37c | 599.04$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 65c | 548.37$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.33 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 8c | 448.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 377$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 70c | 365.67$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 72c | 330$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 32c | 324.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d0…1845backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 289.89$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 6c | 263.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 7c | 255.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 70c | 250.85$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 7c | 250.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b2c4backed No | 68c | 245.69$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.81 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 19c | 227.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 39c | 227.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…8528backed No | 67c | 225.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 7c | 221.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 64c | 219.96$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 7c | 212.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 205$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62a…de09backed Yes | 44c | 204.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 34c | 200.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7461…3515backed Yes | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked No | 60c | 187.65$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 8c | 178.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed No | 67c | 174.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 166.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 38c | 154.26$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes | 32c | 152.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…34e1backed Yes | 39c | 142.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 66c | 141.38$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.48 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 37c | 140$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 20c | 138$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…0803backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 8c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 37c | 129.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 64c | 129.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…1ebdbacked Yes | 40c | 124.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 62c | 123.53$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…95cfbacked Yes | 37c | 116.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 37c | 114.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 12c | 108.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 70c | 105.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 35c | 104.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 101.14$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 40c | 93.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 66c | 89.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 85.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 31c | 82.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 35c | 81.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 16c | 74.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 68c | 72.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…1a34backed No | 67c | 71.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 35c | 70.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa708…9321backed No | 62c | 62.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 1,299 | 57.5%747 W · 552 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…9969backed No | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 65c | 59.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…cd3cbacked Yes | 35c | 57.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -13.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 24c | 57.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…8679backed No | 63c | 57.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 39c | 56.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 21c | 56.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 64c | 55.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 64c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 39c | 51.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 62c | 51.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 60c | 50.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…5d2abacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…5b0fbacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 542 | 32.3%175 W · 367 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…6d74backed Yes | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc176…5d01backed No | 71c | 49.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 36c | 49.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 70c | 47.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa021…d5c9backed No | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 63c | 45.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x188a…9fafbacked No | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 196 | 62.2%122 W · 74 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 64c | 43.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 63c | 42.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc9…da4cbacked Yes | 38c | 41.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…efe8backed Yes | 33c | 41.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 38c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.