Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13b2981b3f0af4007e78c4b5683c164708d4c2b0c614e665cabdacf96cb6ccad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,726
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 7,035$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.85 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 27c | 3,331$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.71 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 1c | 2,501$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…daccbacked No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…6b76backed Yes | 1c | 1,230$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf560…02ffbacked Yes | 18c | 1,113$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 8c | 1,006$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…ef1ebacked Yes | 1c | 973.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 2c | 770.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2868…9b6bbacked Yes | 14c | 680.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.62 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 7c | 673.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 14c | 621.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed Yes | 17c | 572.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 79c | 507$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.33 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 16c | 475.46$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 27c | 412.64$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 12c | 400.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 12c | 342.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 25c | 341.22$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 63c | 323.61$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 42c | 322.47$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…84afbacked Yes | 16c | 314.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 369 | 30.6%113 W · 256 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 78c | 312.39$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.23 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x331b…193fbacked Yes | 10c | 309.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 900 | 40.7%366 W · 534 L | +112.3wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…1fbfbacked No | 63c | 273.4$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 5c | 264.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 75c | 260.46$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.83 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 10c | 258.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 9c | 246.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff3e…953fbacked Yes | 13c | 246.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e53…14e7backed Yes | 21c | 241.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 27.3%41 W · 109 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 237.96$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.37 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 12c | 228.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 39c | 227.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 22c | 219.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 11c | 218.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 15c | 205.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 12c | 202.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed No | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab6…75b5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…6d74backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 33c | 194.19$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.36 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 9c | 179.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 39c | 174.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.29 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 8c | 172.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 11c | 169.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked No | 78c | 169.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.79 | 230 | 60.9%140 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…43bfbacked Yes | 14c | 166.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cb…015fbacked Yes | 33c | 159.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 200 | 27.5%55 W · 145 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 44c | 154.85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.44 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…b251backed No | 61c | 151.39$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 143 | 59.4%85 W · 58 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…f7d3backed Yes | 13c | 147.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 134 | 23.1%31 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 59c | 146.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ff…df5abacked Yes | 30c | 123.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.47 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 122.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 64c | 120.53$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 75c | 117.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 12c | 116.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 17c | 115.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…14ccbacked Yes | 13c | 111.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 18c | 109.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 10c | 109.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c13abacked Yes | 27c | 102.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 20c | 97.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 12c | 97.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 36c | 96.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5348…2966backed Yes | 11c | 96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +304.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbc…f417backed Yes | 53c | 93.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…9969backed Yes | 15c | 90.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 15c | 81.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 70 | 8.6%6 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed Yes | 14c | 77.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcff…8528backed Yes | 13c | 77.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 42c | 74.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Yes | 22c | 73.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 39c | 67.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 18c | 65.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked Yes | 65c | 60.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80e6…09e2backed Yes | 55c | 59.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4bf…ef7cbacked Yes | 19c | 56.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83bb…b01fbacked Yes | 40c | 56.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 37c | 55.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8e…1445backed Yes | 39c | 47.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 43c | 46.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 42c | 34.77$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 44c | 30.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 75c | 27.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe03c…c61bbacked No | 75c | 27.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 52c | 26.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 38c | 26.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 12?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.