Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a63cdfb57c1194724073c974571119fcade0a4e0fea17bf4a2403407b06860a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 2,817$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…54e9backed Yes | 9c | 1,866$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 136 | 14.7%20 W · 116 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 17c | 1,242$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.86 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 29c | 846.84$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.74 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 596.5$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.12 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 18c | 461.42$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 17c | 444.53$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 8c | 384.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 12c | 384.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 75c | 286.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.44 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 12c | 272.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…acf6backed Yes | 14c | 271.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.45 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 19c | 262.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 78c | 248$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 18c | 241.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa50b…12c4backed Yes | 13c | 239.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 13c | 213.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 16c | 208.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…7017backed Yes | 18c | 200.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 656 | 27.4%180 W · 476 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 15c | 200.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed Yes | 15c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…fb3cbacked Yes | 11c | 199.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 190 | 60.5%115 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 17c | 197.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 23c | 196.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 18c | 188.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 10c | 186.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 184$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 14c | 182.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 7c | 180.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 15c | 156.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 28c | 155.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 14c | 151.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 73c | 149.2$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes | 21c | 148$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 14c | 146.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…5cd7backed Yes | 18c | 143.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 77c | 142.4$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed Yes | 12c | 141.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 8c | 139.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…e47abacked Yes | 20c | 138.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 181 | 31.5%57 W · 124 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 16c | 137.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 245 | 42.9%105 W · 140 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 15c | 137.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…6444backed Yes | 13c | 133.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafa6…a78bbacked Yes | 9c | 128.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 24c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 123.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 22c | 123.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 21c | 123.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked Yes | 13c | 121.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 312 | 19.9%62 W · 250 L | -40.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 67c | 113.7$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed Yes | 17c | 112.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 12c | 108.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 106.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 19c | 106.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b0…67c5backed Yes | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 18c | 104.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 15c | 101.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…f139backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 297 | 40.7%121 W · 176 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b6…798dbacked Yes | 19c | 99.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 34c | 99.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.76 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 23c | 99.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 20c | 98.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed Yes | 13c | 86.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 33c | 85.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 23c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 71c | 79.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 24c | 76.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 18c | 76.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bca…0500backed Yes | 27c | 75.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc66d…9fdfbacked Yes | 27c | 75.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…95d7backed Yes | 33c | 75.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked No | 77c | 75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 201 | 73.1%147 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…388cbacked No | 69c | 75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 66c | 74.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 78c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…5c41backed Yes | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 80c | 68.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 65.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 19c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…079bbacked No | 77c | 64.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…bfbcbacked No | 78c | 63.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 185 | 65.4%121 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked Yes | 17c | 60.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…5301backed Yes | 32c | 60.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed7…a0fabacked Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed No | 75c | 59.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…a0b0backed Yes | 25c | 59.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a5…95cfbacked Yes | 19c | 57.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4066…2407backed No | 68c | 53.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc5…67a5backed Yes | 28c | 50.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 50.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 11?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 11?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 11?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.