CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad171800189fae73489baed4dc49a55bfd1eb43d75665634b8959775b692ae4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked G2 Ares | 24c | 541.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.78 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed SPARTA | 44c | 534.28$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.38 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked G2 Ares | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed G2 Ares | 5c | 497.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed SPARTA | 46c | 415.06$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.72 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed G2 Ares | 51c | 353$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.03 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed G2 Ares | 33c | 342.31$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares | 44c | 309.18$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 39c | 262.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 40c | 249.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed G2 Ares | 49c | 203$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed G2 Ares | 28c | 187.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 41c | 180.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares | 53c | 152$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed SPARTA | 55c | 145.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked SPARTA | 78c | 128$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked G2 Ares | 27c | 110.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares | 32c | 109.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SPARTA | 51c | 95.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.6 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…4ec3backed SPARTA | 56c | 92.27$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares | 35c | 88.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked G2 Ares | 49c | 88.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked G2 Ares | 17c | 80.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed G2 Ares | 17c | 75.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked G2 Ares | 58c | 74.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.25 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Ares | 30c | 61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed SPARTA | 63c | 52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked SPARTA | 59c | 50.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 681 | 47%320 W · 361 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed SPARTA | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked SPARTA | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed G2 Ares | 54c | 36.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed SPARTA | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed G2 Ares | 49c | 33.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA | 55c | 32.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed G2 Ares | 42c | 32.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…b1d4backed SPARTA | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06de…cf4cbacked SPARTA | 44c | 24.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SPARTA | 77c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked SPARTA | 70c | 20.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked G2 Ares | 65c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.