CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xede90fc920575825009bc66482f47a5ee304a84e60b8efa8592fbc83b73a1f0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3881…804ebacked SPARTA | 58c | 1,166$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.63 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed SPARTA | 72c | 999.83$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.99 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed G2 Ares | 43c | 835.98$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.24 | 624 | 48.2%301 W · 323 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked G2 Ares | 42c | 801.25$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.53 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed G2 Ares | 45c | 666.26$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked G2 Ares | 29c | 530.08$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.89 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed SPARTA | 59c | 425.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.67 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked SPARTA | 55c | 425.06$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.28 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed G2 Ares | 21c | 372.51$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831c…ce7dbacked SPARTA | 79c | 322.26$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.38 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed SPARTA | 60c | 249.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed G2 Ares | 20c | 217.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked SPARTA | 77c | 214.29$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed SPARTA | 58c | 206.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed G2 Ares | 28c | 196.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed G2 Ares | 41c | 179.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked G2 Ares | 30c | 179.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…f632backed SPARTA | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked G2 Ares | 30c | 168$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked SPARTA | 60c | 167.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed G2 Ares | 44c | 166.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SPARTA | 78c | 163.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 67c | 151.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed SPARTA | 57c | 149.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.22 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed G2 Ares | 42c | 137.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked G2 Ares | 36c | 136.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked G2 Ares | 43c | 133.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SPARTA | 70c | 119.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 1,594 | 29.7%473 W · 1,121 L | -88.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares | 27c | 117.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed G2 Ares | 30c | 112.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked G2 Ares | 39c | 107.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed G2 Ares | 29c | 103.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e46…8c1cbacked G2 Ares | 42c | 102.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed SPARTA | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 457 | 45.1%206 W · 251 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed SPARTA | 79c | 98.5$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed G2 Ares | 41c | 75.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked SPARTA | 63c | 72.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.15 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed SPARTA | 77c | 68.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed SPARTA | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 218 | 55%120 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked SPARTA | 78c | 64.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 409 | 72.4%296 W · 113 L | +38.0wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…db2ebacked G2 Ares | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked SPARTA | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed SPARTA | 60c | 58.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed G2 Ares | 42c | 53.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed G2 Ares | 32c | 52.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked G2 Ares | 41c | 50.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked G2 Ares | 41c | 50.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 513 | 52%267 W · 246 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked G2 Ares | 42c | 49.67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed G2 Ares | 42c | 48.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed G2 Ares | 37c | 43.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb5…ea33backed SPARTA | 80c | 42.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd37…9d71backed G2 Ares | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed SPARTA | 54c | 39.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed SPARTA | 52c | 35.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed G2 Ares | 42c | 35.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed SPARTA | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…13e2backed SPARTA | 59c | 33.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SPARTA | 64c | 32.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d1…1ec3backed G2 Ares | 42c | 27.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SPARTA | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 73c | 24.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…d1c5backed SPARTA | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…d227backed SPARTA | 67c | 16.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.