Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0807212600fe4da4057f8d0affe7ad77bdfbd2362a2aecce4d7605d1da5ebcfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5f9…1ee3backed Yes | 1c | 9,423$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 64c | 735.36$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.48 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 15c | 693.43$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 625$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.46 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 13c | 588.32$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 32c | 567.79$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.74 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 40c | 427.71$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.18 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 38c | 409.8$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.72 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 79c | 406.93$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 22c | 383.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…908bbacked No | 56c | 354.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 60c | 352.76$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…2420backed Yes | 35c | 339.05$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed No | 65c | 328.38$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 62c | 315$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 40c | 314.56$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 63c | 311$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 43c | 306.84$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 43c | 290.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.88 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 34c | 261.86$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.06 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…2cf0backed No | 56c | 257.05$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.1 | 253 | 58.9%149 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 36c | 248.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.29 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 30c | 232.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.45 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 59c | 222.56$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 67c | 222.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 43c | 212$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 206.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.04 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 35c | 196.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 37c | 195.12$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 63c | 182.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3738…ed32backed Yes | 40c | 167$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 201 | 44.3%89 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 45c | 164.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 32c | 163$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 52c | 159.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 19c | 159.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 56c | 154.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.41 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed No | 67c | 153.11$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…9325backed No | 68c | 147.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.03 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 16c | 139.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3024backed Yes | 28c | 134.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 241 | 39.8%96 W · 145 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 38c | 132.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762b…d3b9backed Yes | 40c | 129.25$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 58c | 119.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 59c | 112$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 43c | 107.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 43c | 104$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.08 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 23c | 101.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 43c | 101.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1eb…52c6backed No | 60c | 100.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.85 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b3…1e06backed No | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 56c | 99.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 58c | 96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f10…563bbacked Yes | 47c | 95.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 31c | 93.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 93.16$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 62c | 91.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.01 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9424…5e08backed Yes | 40c | 90.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 39c | 88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 58c | 87.02$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…b7f8backed Yes | 37c | 84.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 58c | 84.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…0d6bbacked No | 71c | 83.52$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 156 | 69.2%108 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 43c | 80.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 36c | 80.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…cd28backed No | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 24c | 78.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 36c | 77.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…dfcabacked Yes | 35c | 76.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 239 | 51%122 W · 117 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…03c2backed Yes | 33c | 74.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…e285backed Yes | 44c | 72.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 410 | 46.8%192 W · 218 L | +57.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 40c | 72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…5314backed Yes | 40c | 70.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 42c | 69.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 43c | 69.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 56c | 69.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 26c | 68.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x804b…b090backed No | 72c | 68.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 183 | 65.6%120 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…168ebacked No | 65c | 68.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 39c | 67.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 40c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 475 | 38.1%181 W · 294 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 23c | 66.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 31c | 66.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f0…186cbacked Yes | 46c | 64.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 42c | 63.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 32c | 61.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 73c | 61.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed Yes | 42c | 60.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on June 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.