Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf273223800a6c51397a9772dc7bd61a1248460a8539b966871684a19d2cdffcf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 13c | 499.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 33c | 391.46$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.76 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 38c | 391.27$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 71c | 389.14$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.79 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 41c | 344.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.53 | 197 | 37.1%73 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 17c | 334.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 260$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.91 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6638…0bccbacked Yes | 39c | 259.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…dce1backed No | 71c | 240.31$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 236 | 66.1%156 W · 80 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 67c | 210.16$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked No | 67c | 195.38$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.63 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 66c | 149.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda89…6215backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 65c | 136.53$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 38c | 129$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558d…b8dcbacked Yes | 25c | 125.77$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 67c | 121.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 67c | 112$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 67c | 110.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 109.9$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 29c | 108.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 34c | 101.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…7587backed No | 68c | 101.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd939…5314backed Yes | 32c | 101.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 37c | 100.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 32c | 100.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…aee7backed Yes | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 13c | 97.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 27c | 97.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 37c | 95.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 34c | 94.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 31c | 94.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 93.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 92.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 27c | 92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 69c | 91.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 68c | 89.48$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecd…9b27backed Yes | 29c | 83.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fc…d364backed Yes | 28c | 81.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 61c | 76.68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5e…4c95backed Yes | 29c | 76.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 26c | 76.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…fe9cbacked Yes | 30c | 75.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 38c | 75.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8629…bdf5backed Yes | 26c | 72.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 128 | 32%41 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…d346backed No | 60c | 72.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 32c | 72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 63c | 69.43$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.78 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd165…b94cbacked Yes | 26c | 66.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…c1f5backed Yes | 31c | 63.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 64c | 62.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 60.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 65c | 59.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 72c | 55.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ff…57d7backed No | 61c | 55.4$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…bd75backed No | 60c | 51.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 27c | 51.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…f2f0backed No | 77c | 50.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…1935backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 27c | 48.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…2c98backed Yes | 41c | 48.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 64c | 47.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 73c | 45.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 45.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e5…c08fbacked No | 62c | 40.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 63c | 38.68$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 38.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 38c | 38.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 31c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 35c | 36.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 66c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 67c | 35.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9e…b0d6backed No | 61c | 30.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 67c | 30.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed No | 71c | 30.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 50 | 82%41 W · 9 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 72c | 29.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 67c | 28.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 66c | 27.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb04…8b26backed Yes | 37c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 74c | 26.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 25.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or below on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on June 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.