TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minnesota Twinsof Minnesota Twins, Los Angeles Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Minnesota Twins45c40,000$18,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,999.951,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Angels56c26,786$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00061351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Los Angeles Angels55c16,043$8,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,823.5471650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Los Angeles Angels60c5,507$3,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,321.763351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins45c5,416$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.636,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Angels55c4,044$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,228.7711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Los Angeles Angels55c3,883$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.81,29250.2%648 W · 644 L+18.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Minnesota Twins37c3,283$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.358,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels76c3,072$2,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.3510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Twins44c2,764$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.785,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels48c2,720$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.3312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Los Angeles Angels55c1,818$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008256.1%46 W · 36 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins44c1,591$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.71,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Twins41c1,518$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.244,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Los Angeles Angels56c1,351$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.7422350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Twins44c1,024$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.442,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Los Angeles Angels58c1,001$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.585570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins44c691.99$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.526,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Los Angeles Angels55c608.84$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.8661450.8%312 W · 302 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Minnesota Twins44c585$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.61,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Minnesota Twins44c499.97$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.992045%9 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Twins72c495.44$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.755,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Angels55c454$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.71,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Minnesota Twins46c375$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.517348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Minnesota Twins46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16258652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins44c271$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.768,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Minnesota Twins46c265.93$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.640348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Minnesota Twins64c240.6$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.871,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Minnesota Twins44c218.6$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4129752.5%156 W · 141 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Angels55c204$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.292054%497 W · 423 L+23.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Minnesota Twins23c172.3$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.7229549.8%147 W · 148 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Minnesota Twins45c166.67$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6716744.9%75 W · 92 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Minnesota Twins45c162$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.145045.8%206 W · 244 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Minnesota Twins45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Minnesota Twins47c149.98$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9819540%78 W · 117 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd4…0dfcbacked Minnesota Twins48c144.58$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.23540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Angels56c142$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.521,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Los Angeles Angels50c135.78$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5473355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Minnesota Twins36c134.31$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9673949.8%368 W · 371 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Los Angeles Angels54c121.65$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6985949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Minnesota Twins44c108.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.752,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Los Angeles Angels56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5611138.7%43 W · 68 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Minnesota Twins40c99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.419546.2%90 W · 105 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Minnesota Twins36c92.8$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.395,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Los Angeles Angels57c87.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.742,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd5a…aa7abacked Minnesota Twins61c85.27$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.487448.6%36 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Los Angeles Angels57c84.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.221,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8499…950dbacked Minnesota Twins47c72.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.349945.5%45 W · 54 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Minnesota Twins38c70.68$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.891,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a05…d9b6backed Minnesota Twins46c70.25$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.931060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x701c…b953backed Los Angeles Angels38c70.01$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.462352.2%12 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+57.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Minnesota Twins45c68.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8952852.1%275 W · 253 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Minnesota Twins75c67.95$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.293,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Minnesota Twins44c61.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.032,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Minnesota Twins44c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.673849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Minnesota Twins46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3539149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Minnesota Twins45c53.6$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4835149.3%173 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed Minnesota Twins46c53.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7624444.7%109 W · 135 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0570…16c9backed Minnesota Twins45c51.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7310642.5%45 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Minnesota Twins45c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.752,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39d…7a09backed Los Angeles Angels27c46.2$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.384542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Los Angeles Angels55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515349%75 W · 78 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Los Angeles Angels55c45.18$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8527345.4%124 W · 149 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Minnesota Twins45c43.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.712,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed Minnesota Twins45c41.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0915252%79 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels56c41.24$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.092,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Los Angeles Angels54c38.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1844553.5%238 W · 207 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5587…6d07backed Los Angeles Angels57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051656.6%292 W · 224 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Los Angeles Angels54c33.7$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.256851.4%292 W · 276 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Los Angeles Angels56c32.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.477846.2%36 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Los Angeles Angels54c32.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3642448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c99…d91abacked Minnesota Twins46c32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2812235.2%43 W · 79 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Minnesota Twins36c31.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.411,05644.3%468 W · 588 L-25.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69ee…2d27backed Minnesota Twins55c31.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Minnesota Twins45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Los Angeles Angels36c29$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.314,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins63c28.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.69,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Los Angeles Angels57c26.32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Los Angeles Angels61c26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8688046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Minnesota Twins70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.570737.6%266 W · 441 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e4b…0a04backed Minnesota Twins42c24.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3317550.3%88 W · 87 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Minnesota Twins44c23.98$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.431,80453.8%970 W · 834 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Los Angeles Angels55c21.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.741,01447.7%484 W · 530 L-28.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.