WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00a8ea8ed2aa05ccf428cb10f87d271b5b5827b9dcb1f922dad3e3c53004a3ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 52c | 6,409$3,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.65 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 2,937$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.89 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 2,126$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.04 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 1,024$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 56c | 364$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.43 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 43c | 249.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 44c | 227.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 53c | 180.06$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.06 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Over | 44c | 175.86$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 56c | 166.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Under | 47c | 150$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 16c | 82.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…58a8backed Under | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 44c | 65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 64.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 47c | 44.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Over | 45c | 39.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 55c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 168.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto TempoGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 165.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.