WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc7dfca2f44b857abe387b3dd5741f3493b36f336ea3e1ce43542194a47ea2df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Under | 55c | 1,073$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.91 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 45c | 896.6$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.47 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 687.62$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.06 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 48c | 417$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Over | 48c | 407$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 341.39$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.44 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked Over | 48c | 222.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 208.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 44c | 176$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 52c | 89.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 58c | 71.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Over | 42c | 71.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 63.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 52c | 59.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.41per pick | 49cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Over | 48c | 58.6$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 43.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 29.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Over | 48c | 21.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto TempoGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 165.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 168.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.