WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6871a5466bad22db775f3aa02e7cbb8eb1da4cfc2d99bd821cc47165e33ee24a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Over | 51c | 9,874$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 3,452$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.24 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Under | 55c | 2,368$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 2,029$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.03 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 1,344$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.64 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 617.73$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.87 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 50c | 599.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 535.6$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3105…2e7ebacked Over | 50c | 322.82$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Under | 52c | 310$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.57 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 18c | 274$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 52c | 105.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 54c | 52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 165.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto TempoGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 166.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 167.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 168.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.