WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30dc2d794259edf53476d9e7eb709f6c082b9033f800210bbd83d1c1700233d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Minnesota Lynx, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 5,513$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.84 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 3,900$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 3,880$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.99 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 3,633$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.1 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 2,888$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.86 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 2,439$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 2,105$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.49 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 2,037$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.8 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 1,116$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.64 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 924$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.04 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…01b4backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 559.57$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 538.04$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 515.02$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.76 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 500.91$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.43 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1c…1634backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 400.98$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Minnesota Lynx | 37c | 359.97$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.59 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 329.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 239.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.43 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Connecticut Sun | 54c | 140.93$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.83 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 97$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 93.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 72.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 71.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Connecticut Sun | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 69.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 63.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 43.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 23.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota LynxConnecticut Sun won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 167.5Over won
- Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.