WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3054ab5e76ed82119df24b93390aac891a5d505c5211dbf32334d66568731c7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 49c | 1,142$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.48 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 1,129$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.36 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 50c | 942.99$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.68 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 51c | 580$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.8 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 392.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.15 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 362.5$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 78c | 286.59$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.05 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 28c | 246.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 50c | 183.31$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 77c | 163.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 18c | 135.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 48c | 97.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 52c | 79.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.39 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 48.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 26c | 41.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 49c | 35.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota LynxConnecticut Sun won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 167.5Over won
- Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.