WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0505a29f5a978816069665a8bb6e14dedfc0750b87b186c9fe974a4008a19d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Minnesota Lynx, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 5,582$2,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.35 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 2,074$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.03 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 2,048$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.08 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 1,892$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.2 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 1,841$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.99 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 1,052$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.19 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 263.06$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 172.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 167.83$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Connecticut Sun | 50c | 121.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.51 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 66.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 58.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 50.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 37.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 35.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 25.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)this page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota LynxConnecticut Sun won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 165.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 166.5Over won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 167.5Over won
- Olivia Miles: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Olivia Miles: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-14.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-15.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-16.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.